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Spatiotemporal epidemiology of indigenous and imported malaria cases in Goa, western India

Abstract

Background

The state of Goa in western India is world-renowned for its coastline and attracts millions of tourists across the world. Historically, Goa was among the malaria-endemic states in India, with Plasmodium vivax contributing to the majority of the cases. Past malaria outbreaks in Goa have been linked to construction activities, and imported malaria cases threaten malaria elimination efforts in the state.

Methods

The malaria data from the National Centre for Vector Borne Disease Control (NCVBDC) and the Directorate of Health Services, Goa was used to study the spatiotemporal dynamics of Plasmodium falciparum, P. vivax, and mixed infection in Goa from 2000–2023. The spatiotemporal distribution of indigenous and imported malaria cases from 2014–2023 in the different primary/urban/community health centres (PHC/UHC/CHCs) of Goa was analysed using GIS. The spatiotemporal changes of the last three decades in Goa’s land use/land cover (LU/LC) were assessed using Landsat satellite images, and its effect on malaria distribution was analysed.

Results

Over the study period (2000–2023), P. vivax contributed to 78.2% of the caseload. The malaria trend fluctuated from 2000 to 2008, with a steep decline observed from 2009 onwards, and in 2023, zero indigenous cases were reported. The six health centres of Candolim, Margao, Siolim, Vasco, Mapusa, and Panaji reported 57.8% of the total indigenous and imported malaria cases in Goa during 2014–2023. With 292 cases in 2023, the Porvorim UHC has emerged as a new hotspot of imported malaria cases. The LU/LC change analysis shows a four-fold increase of built-up area, from ~ 70 sq. km in 1991 to 260 sq. km in 2024, with strong spatial overlap between new built-up areas and malaria cases.

Conclusion

Due to the concerted parasite and vector control strategies of the state health department, Goa has achieved the target of zero indigenous malaria cases in 2023. Despite achieving this milestone, the threat of imported malaria cases leading to local outbreaks remains a serious concern.

Background

India has made significant strides in its efforts to eliminate malaria by 2030; there has been a tenfold decrease in malaria cases from 2.09 million in 2001 to 0.2 million in 2023 [1]. One of the important challenges India faces in its malaria elimination efforts is the threat of migrant workers re-introducing malaria in areas of declining malaria transmission.

Goa, the smallest state in India, is located in the western coast within the Konkan region. Post-liberation from the Portuguese in 1961, Goa has undergone drastic ecological, demographical changes, and rapid urbanization (35% increase in the urban population in the last decade) to support tourism, which is the major source of revenue for the state [2, 3]. Goa attracts millions of visitors every year to its beaches; from 0.9 million in 1997, the number of visitors has increased to ~ 7 million in 2022 [4]. The rapid increase in tourism due to national and international travellers has fuelled Goa’s construction boom [5]. Thousands of skilled and unskilled migrant workers, arriving from many malaria-endemic sites, including East and North East India, have been employed in Goa’s construction activities [6]. Ever since the major malaria outbreak in Panjim, Goa’s capital city, in 1986 [7], malaria continues to be a major public health concern in the state. Past malaria outbreaks in Goa have been associated with sites, with accelerated construction activities [8, 9]. The migrant workers from high transmission settings could be asymptomatic carriers and the source for local malaria outbreaks in Goa’s low transmission malaria settings. A greater concern is these construction workers could facilitate the migration of drug-resistant parasites from east and northeast to the urban centres in the west and southwest India [10,11,12]. Goa’s tropical climate (temperature:18–36.2C, relative humidity: 75–95%, and annual rainfall: 2500-3500mm, mostly from May to October) favours perennial malaria transmission [13]. Anopheles stephensi is the major urban malaria vector in Goa [14]. The curing water in construction sites is a major breeding site for An. stephensi in Goa [15]. In the last decade, Anopheles subpictus has emerged as a secondary malaria vector in Goa, especially during the dry season [14, 16].

India is targeting zero indigenous malaria cases by 2027 and certification of malaria elimination by 2030 [17]. To achieve the target, India has developed a “National Strategic Plan for malaria elimination 2023–27 program” focusing on malaria elimination efforts at the district level [18]. Goa is in the list of category 1 states, where API is < 1, and is approaching malaria elimination [18]. Goa was expected to achieve malaria elimination by 2020 [19]. However, because of the Covid-19 pandemic, Goa’s malaria elimination target was extended till 2023 [20]. In the last decade, Goa has seen a steep decrease in malaria cases, especially among the native Goans [21]. Despite the overall decrease in the malaria caseload, the imported malaria cases due to the migrant workers pose a huge challenge to malaria elimination efforts in Goa. Here, the spatiotemporal distribution of Goa’s malaria cases in the last decade (2014–23) was mapped at the level of primary/urban/community health centres (PHCs/UHCs/CHCs) to highlight the enormous malaria burden posed by migrant workers. Furthermore, the effect of land use/land cover (LU/LC) changes on malaria distribution in the contiguous urban centres of Goa is analysed. As Goa is pushing towards the final phase of malaria elimination, this analysis details the space–time trend of malaria epidemiology in the state, and the challenges that lie ahead in eliminating malaria and preventing its re-establishment.

Methods

Study site

Goa, bound by latitudes 14° 53′ 57″ N to 15° 47′ 59″ N and longitudes 73° 40′ 54″ E to 74° 20′ 11″ E, covers an area of 3,702 square kilometres with a coastline stretching 105 km. Goa’s population is ~ 1.5 million, and ~ 62% of the people reside in urban areas. Goa has two districts and 12 talukas. The North-Goa district has 15 PHCs, 2 UHCs, and one district hospital. The South-Goa district has 15 PHCs, 2 UHCs, and one district hospital. The spatial distribution of Goa’s population (2011 census) and PHC/UHC/CHCs are shown in Fig. 1. The population density is high (> 25,000) in the cities of Panaji, Vasco, Mapusa, and Margao. The villages in the eastern part of the state are less populated (< 5000).

Fig. 1
figure 1

Location of Goa state and the administrative units. Location of Goa state (inset map) and the administrative units (state, districts, sub-districts and villages). The village-wise distribution of the total population, as per Census 2011, is shown with a gradual colour ramp (dark shade represents population density > 25,000). The locations and names of the state’s capital (Panaji) and PHCs are overlaid. The background map represents the topography of the area

Malaria data

The 2000–23 malaria data of the two districts were obtained from the National Centre for Vector Borne Disease Control (NCVBDC). The PHC/UHC/CHC wise indigenous and imported malaria cases data was obtained from the National Vector Borne Disease Control Programme (NVBDCP), Directorate of Health Services, Goa. The data includes total malaria cases, Plasmodium falciparum, Plasmodium vivax, mixed infection cases (coinfections with Pf and Pv), and deaths due to malaria cases. The malariometric indices—annual parasite incidence (API) [(annual malaria cases/population) × 1000], annual falciparum incidence (AFI) [(Annual P. falciparum cases/population) × 1000], yearly slide falciparum rate (SFR) [(slides positive for P. falciparum in a year/ blood slides examined) × 100] and yearly slide vivax rate (SVR) [(slides positive for P. vivax in a year/ blood slides examined) × 100] in North and South Goa districts for 2000–2010, 2011–2019 and 2020–2023 were calculated from population data as per the census 2001 [22], census 2011 [23], and the projected population for 2020 by the International Institute for Population Science [24], respectively.

Malaria cases were classified as either indigenous or imported according to the National Centre for Vector Borne Disease Control guidelines [18, 25]. Briefly, a case is considered imported when Plasmodium infection was contracted outside Goa, while indigenous denotes the infection was acquired in Goa, with no evidence of being imported or being directly linked to an imported case [25]. Introduced case is a locally contracted case that has solid epidemiological evidence connecting it to a known imported case (first-generation local transmission) [18]. Any migrant worker from a malaria-endemic region who tests positive for malaria within fourteen days of arrival to Goa is categorized as an imported case [26]. The medical officer in the health centre categorizes each case after getting detailed information on the patient’s socio-demographic profile, travel history, medical history related to the current illness, diagnostic test results, treatment provided, potential sources of infection, and recent contacts who may have been exposed to malaria. From 2014 to 2022, indigenous and imported were the only two categories listed. In 2023, 77 introduced cases were reported but were not included under the imported cases to maintain uniformity.

Spatiotemporal mapping

Data of indigenous and imported malaria cases from 2014 to 2023 in the different health centres of Goa were added as attributes to the PHC/UHC/CHC locations and choropleth maps were prepared using the ArcGIS 10.4 software (https://desktop.arcgis.com).

LU/LC assessment

The long-term spatiotemporal changes in the LU/LC in Goa were assessed through the satellite images obtained from the USGS Earth Explorer site (https://earthexplorer.usgs.gov/). As the periods 1990–1991 and 2023–2024 fall under normal rainfall and vegetation conditions, and the month of February usually has clear skies, the Landsat 5 images for February 1991 and the Landsat 9 images for February 2024 were selected for the analysis of LU/LC change. The metadata of the satellite data used in the study is presented in the Supplementary table S1. The satellite images were processed through an unsupervised classification algorithm (K-means classifier) with 120 classes and a maximum of 12 iterations. The clusters identified through the spectral signatures of the images were evaluated and assigned suitable LU/LC classes based on the level-1 classification scheme. The accuracy of the classified LU/LC classes was corroborated by incorporating high-resolution Google Earth imagery, topographic information, and published Google maps. A total of 80 random points equally distributed across classes were selected to evaluate the classification accuracy. Accuracy assessments yielded an overall accuracy (Kappa Statistic) of 88.57% (0.87) for 1991 and 92.50% (0.91) for 2024 (Supplementary table S2, S3, and S4).

Results

Epidemiology of malaria cases in Goa (2000–2023)

From 2000–2013, malaria cases in Goa were not segregated as indigenous and imported. The segregation happened from 2014 onwards, and the cases shown from 2014 to 2023 are indigenous cases (Fig. 2 and Table 1). From 2000 to 2009, Goa consistently reported greater than 1000 cases/year, with an API of > 2. In the study period, the highest number of malaria cases (16,818 cases) was reported in 2002, with an API of 12.48. The cases declined in the subsequent years, but an upsurge in cases was observed in 2007 (9755 cases) and 2008 (9822 cases), with an API of 7.24 and 7.29, respectively. North Goa reported near about double the cases of South Goa until 2008. Thereafter, the difference between the two districts has narrowed as the malaria cases decreased in North Goa. The malaria trend fluctuated from 2000 to 2008, and a steep decline was observed from 2009 onwards. In 2011 and 2012, the malaria cases and API were slightly higher in South Goa. From 2010–2013, the API hovered between 1 and 2, and from 2014 onwards, the API was < 1, and in 2023, the API was zero. P. vivax was the predominant malaria parasite in both districts; the ratio of P. falciparum: P. vivax over the study period was 2:7. The variation of P. falciparum and P. vivax ratio in both districts followed a similar trend. After 2010, the P. falciparum: P. vivax ratio declined along with the API in both districts. However, from 2020 onwards, as the total malaria cases reached 2 digits, the P. falciparum: P. vivax ratio tends towards equality. Similar down trends were seen with slide positivity rate (SPR), slide falciparum rate (SFR), and slide vivax rate (SVR) (Table 1).

Fig. 2
figure 2

Trends of malaria cases and API in North Goa and South Goa from 2000–2023. The bar graph represents the species-wise malaria cases in North Goa and South Goa. The API is represented by a dotted line for South Goa and a dashed line for North Goa. Pf- P. falciparum, Pv- P. vivax

Table 1 Distribution of Annual malaria cases in Goa from 2000 to 2023

Spatiotemporal distribution of indigenous and imported malaria cases (2014–2023)

The spatiotemporal distribution of indigenous and imported malaria cases from 2014 to 2023 in the different health centres of Goa are shown in Figs. 3 and 4, respectively. The indigenous and imported cases were detected by active and passive surveillance (Supplementary Table S5). Until 2016, four to five health centres reported > 50 indigenous malaria cases per year; it reduced to two in 2019 and none afterwards. The PHC/UHC of Candolim, Panaji, and Margao frequently reported > 50 indigenous malaria cases annually. Panaji UHC is the only centre to report > 20 indigenous cases after 2020. The number of PHCs/UHCs with > 100 imported malaria cases per year was 8 until 2018, and it reduced to five in 2019 and zero in 2020. However, in 2023, only three health centres in North Goa reported ≥ 100 imported malaria cases. The PHCs/UHCs that reported more indigenous malaria cases—Candolim, Panaji, and Margao, also consistently reported more imported malaria cases. In addition, the health centres of Vasco, Siolim, and Mapusa also frequently reported > 100 imported malaria cases annually. In 2023, the Candolim, Porvorim, and Siolim health centres reported ≥ 100 imported malaria cases; Porvorim has emerged as a new hotspot with 292 cases. At Porvorim UHC, the total number of imported cases reported during 2014–2023 was 673, and 43% of the cases were reported in 2023 alone. (Supplementary Table S6 & S7).

Fig. 3
figure 3

Spatiotemporal distribution of indigenous malaria cases in different health centre’s of Goa from 2014 to 2023. The size and colour of the circles denote the number of malaria cases; larger and darker circles denote a higher caseload. The PHCs with high caseloads are labelled. The districts of North and South Goa are shown by blue and purple boundaries, respectively

Fig. 4
figure 4

Spatiotemporal distribution of imported malaria cases in different health centre’s of Goa from 2014 to 2023. The size and colour of the circles denote the number of malaria cases; larger and darker circles denote a higher caseload. The PHCs with high caseloads are labelled. The districts of North and South Goa are shown by blue and purple boundaries, respectively

Compared to the South Goa district, the North Goa district reported substantially higher malaria cases, both indigenous and imported. Candolim PHC in the coastal North Goa reported the highest number (3,458 cases) of indigenous and imported malaria cases and was followed by Margao in the South Goa district with 3,070 cases. These two are followed by the PHCs/UHCs of Vasco (2,244 cases), Siolim (2,117 cases), Mapusa (1,633 cases), and Panaji (1,587 cases) in North Goa; altogether these six PHCs reported ~ 57.8% of the total indigenous and imported malaria cases in Goa with indigenous cases being always on the lower side during the entire study period 2014–2023 (Fig. 5).

Fig. 5
figure 5

Long-term changes (1991–2024) in land use/land cover (LU/LC) in Goa. The changes in LU/LC classes (in %) from a) 1991 (left) to b) 2024 (right) are overlaid on the map as a pie chart with the same colour codes. Forest (dark green) is the dominant LU/LC class (68% in 1991 and 67% in 2024). The built-up (red) class shows substantial changes from 1991 to 2024, both spatially and temporally. The PHC-wise total malaria cases (2014–2023) is overlaid on the 2024 image as black circles to understand the relative influence of new built-up class on malaria cases. The state boundary is demarcated by a black line

From 2018 to 2023, the percentage of P. falciparum and P. vivax among the imported cases were 22.3% (1692 cases) and 77.6% (5894 cases), respectively. The distribution of P. falciparum and P. vivax among the imported cases in the different health centres are shown in Supplementary Table S8.

LU/LC changes

The comparison of LU/LC between February 1991 and February 2024 shows notable changes in a few classes. Forest was the dominant LU/LC class in 1991 and 2024 with 68 and 67%, respectively. Even though the overall proportion showed only a minor change (~ 1%), the forest cover along the coastlines has changed considerably. Most of the forest cover along the coastline (beaches) was converted into built-up areas, while the forest cover bordering the eastern state boundary was intact. The areas between the core forests areas and built-up regions saw improvements in the forest cover; the scrublands with trees and open spaces were converted into thick forest cover. The proportion of scrublands and croplands has drastically reduced in and around the built-up regions/settlements in the North Goa district. In 1991, the total built-up area of Goa was ~ 70 sq. km (~ 2% of the total area), which increased four-fold to ~ 260 sq. km (~ 7% of the total area) in 2024. The new built-up areas are predominantly along the coastlines and arterial roads that connect coasts to the interior of the North Goa district; there is a strong spatial overlap between these new built-up areas and malaria cases. Similarly, the proportion of mining pits has also increased seven-fold from 0.7 sq. km. in 1991 to 4.7 sq. km. in 2024. Compared to 1991, the proportions of wetlands and croplands have decreased while the areas under the barren, fallow, or wasteland (these termed as miscellaneous) have considerably increased in the North Goa district.

The changes in LU/LC classes (in %) from a) 1991 (left) to b) 2024 (right) are overlaid on the map as a pie chart with the same colour codes. Forest (dark green) is the dominant LU/LC class (68% in 1991 and 67% in 2024). The built-up (red) class shows substantial changes from 1991 to 2024, both spatially and temporally. The PHC-wise total malaria cases (2014–2023) is overlaid on the 2024 image as black circles to understand the relative influence of new built-up class on malaria cases. The state boundary is demarcated by a black line.

Discussion

Goa’s tropical climate with heavy rainfall due to the southwest monsoon provides an ideal ecological niche for Anopheline vectors and malaria transmission. Anopheles stephensi is the major vector in Goa’s contiguous urban centres, especially during the monsoon season (May to October) [16]. In the drier months (November to April), An. subpictus sustains malaria transmission in the state [16].

In the last decade, indigenous malaria transmission in Goa has declined steeply, and the state appears to be on track to achieve its goal of malaria elimination. Despite the steep decline in indigenous cases, imported malaria cases continue to pose a significant threat to sustaining the progress. Malaria control in Goa is of regional, national and international importance. Under the National Strategic Plan for Malaria Elimination (2023–2027), Goa comes under category 1—states with an API of < 1 in all the districts [18]. In 2023, Goa joined the states and union territory under category 0—states with zero indigenous cases [27]. As an international tourist destination, Goa is an important source of imported malaria to travellers from Europe [28, 29]. Attaining and maintaining malaria-free status could boost the state’s tourism and economy.

Goa’s beaches attract millions of domestic and international travellers every year. To sustain tourism in Goa, scores of migrants are employed in construction activities throughout the year. The high demand and wages attract migrants from socioeconomically disadvantaged states to Goa to the construction industry and to a lesser extent to the hospitality sector [5, 30]. In the spatial analysis, clusters of high imported malaria cases in North Goa’s Panaji, Aldona, Porvorim, Betqui, Candolim, and Siolim, and South Goa’s Margao; these cities are the hub of continuous construction activities and have high built-up areas. The imported malaria cases in these cities are largely attributable to the migrant construction workers [21, 31]; more than half of the malaria-positive cases in Goa Medical College (GMC) were migrant construction workers from the malaria-endemic north-central, eastern and northeastern states [31, 32].

In the malaria-endemic regions, due to high protective immunity, asymptomatic carriers of malaria are common [33, 34]. As many of the migrant workers visiting Goa are from the malaria-endemic states, a proportion of them could be asymptomatic carriers [35,36,37,38] and could harbour very low levels of gametocytes that can be detected only by molecular tools [39]. In a longitudinal study among asymptomatic individuals, gametocytes were found in 36.3% of asymptomatic carriers at least once before the parasite clearance [40]. A decade-long hospital-based study of malaria patients in Goa Medical College, Goa, showed a steep decrease in parasitaemia from 2% in 2012 to 0.35% in 2021, while the gametocyte density has increased from 146 to 385/uL, suggesting an increasing trend towards submicroscopic infections and transmission commitment, characteristic of low-transmission settings [21].

The Goa Public Health Act (1985), implemented by the directorate of health services, mandates contractors to screen the hired migrants for malaria by rapid diagnostic test (RDT) or microscopy at the local PHC so that a health card can be prepared within 24–48 h after their arrival in Goa [41]. A major limitation of malarial screening by RDT or microscopy is they cannot detect sub-microscopic infections with very low levels of  parasites. Studies have shown even microscopically undetectable levels of gametocytes can be infective to mosquitoes [42,43,44]. The ongoing controlled feeding experiments at the National Institute of Malaria Research-Goa, show blood from asymptomatic carriers, including one from a patient who was microscopy negative but PCR positive, were infective to mosquitoes (unpublished data). The construction workers are housed in temporary shelters near the building sites. Among these workers, the undetected low-density gametocyte carriers could serve as key reservoirs for malaria transmission among workers and the local population living near the construction sites. The curing water in the construction sites is a preferred breeding ground of An. stephensi, the dominant malaria vector in Goa [45, 46].

In addition to the risk of local malaria transmission, these migrant workers can also introduce drug-resistant malaria parasites from NE, especially parasites resistant to sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine (SP), to the urban centres of Goa [11, 47]. In the North-East, due to resistance to SP [11, 48], lumefantrine is the recommended partner to artemether in the artemisinin-based combination therapy (ACT), while in the rest of India, the first-line anti-malarial is artesunate (AS) plus SP [49]. In Goa, treating SP-resistant parasites from NE with AS-SP might increase the pressure on artemisinin. Already, reduced sensitivity to dihydroartemisinin has been reported in isolates from several states in India, including Goa [50, 51].

In the last three decades, Goa has undergone significant changes in its LU/LC, especially in its built-up area and mining pits, which increased by four and seven-fold, respectively, from 1991–2024. Most of the built-up area and accompanying settlements, especially in the coastal parts of the North Goa district, contain a large number of water bodies, wetlands, and mining pits (fresh water collects in these pits), which serve as breeding grounds for mosquito vectors. In the last decade, Goa has seen the emergence of a new secondary malaria vector—An. subpictus B [16]. Recently in Goa, Anopheles jamesii, considered a non-malaria vector was found positive for Plasmodium carriage in longitudinal mosquito surveys and was shown to support sporozoite development in vitro [52]. The emergence of new vectors could be attributable to the ecological changes that have taken place in the last three decades; increasing human settlements near water bodies may have led to their increased anthropophilic behaviour. Furthermore, sustained vector-control efforts to contain An. stephensi, the established vector, in this region may have led to the emergence of new vectors.

With no indigenous malaria case reported in 2023, Goa is close to its malaria elimination end-game. The steep decline in malaria cases is attributable to the preventive measures implemented by the state government such as: 1) Active surveillance of malaria cases in high-risk areas such as construction sites; from 2007–2022; Goa and Mizoram are the only two states where the average annual blood examination rates surpassed 20% nationally [32], 2) Cleanliness drive and source reduction—routine screening and application of insecticides/pesticides in construction sites and anthropogenic water bodies near transmission-receptive settings, 3) Distribution of long lasting insecticidal nets to migrant workers and local vulnerable population below the poverty line, especially those living near the construction sites, 4) Screening of migrant construction workers for malaria and issuance of health cards on arrival to Goa; a fine of Rs. 10,000 per head would be imposed on the contractor if any of his workers do not have the health card as per Goa Public Health Act 1985 [53] and 5) Implementation of information, education and communication strategies such as educating the migrant workers about malaria and importance of early diagnosis and treatment, and informing the contractors/engineers to use larvicides in curing sites and water-containers at construction sites. Goa reported zero malaria cases in the first half of the 1980s. However, malaria rebounded in the subsequent years. Even though no indigenous cases were reported in 2023, the imported cases have more than doubled from 585 in 2022 to 1,209 in 2023. From 2012–2021, the patients’ profile at GMC shows that only ~ 10% of the cases are malaria-positive within one month of their arrival to Goa, indicating substantial local transmission among migrant workers [21]. As the imported malaria cases are increasing in recent years, it is a question of when and not if indigenous cases will be reported. In the long run, the current decline in indigenous cases can be sustained only when the submicroscopic gametocyte carriers are identified and treated. The migrant workers and the local vulnerable population residing closer to the construction sites should be periodically screened for submicroscopic gametocyte infections by quantitative real-time PCR (qPCR). Furthermore, migrant construction workers negative for RDT and/or microscopy should be screened by qPCR on their arrival to Goa. As the malaria cases decrease in the local population, there will be a decrease in protective immunity, and local outbreaks could lead to severe symptoms. The study by Chakrabarti et al. has shown that despite the decline in uncomplicated and severe malaria cases over the last decade, the proportion of severe malaria cases has increased in Goa [21].

The study has several limitations. The data on the socio-demographic profile of the imported malaria cases are not available, which makes it impossible to quantify the proportion of construction workers among the imported malaria cases. The lack of species wise segregation until 2017 makes it hard to assess the true proportion of P. vivax and P. falciparum among imported cases in the last decade. Active surveillance data on malaria-positive febrile and non-febrile cases in high-risk areas would have given important insights into the proportion of asymptomatic cases. Furthermore, the statistical association between malaria cases and LULC changes could not be studied due to the lack of details on patient’s locations.

Conclusions

For the first time in the last two decades, Goa reported zero indigenous malaria cases in 2023. Despite the steep fall in indigenous cases, imported malaria cases have continued to rise in recent years, indicating the continuous arrival of high-risk groups positive for malaria. Continuous active surveillance, early detection and prompt treatment of migrant workers and vulnerable local population, and sustaining the ongoing parasite and vector control strategies, are key to maintaining the malaria-free status in Goa.

Availability of data and materials

No datasets were generated or analysed during the current study.

Abbreviations

NCVBDC:

National Centre for Vector Borne Disease Control

PHC:

Primary health centre

UHC:

Urban health centre

CHC:

Community health centre

GIS:

Geographic information systems

LU/LC:

Land use/ Land cover

API:

Annual parasite incidence

AFI:

Annual falciparum incidence

SFR:

Yearly slide falciparum rate

SVR:

Yearly slide vivax rate

AS:

Artesunate

SP:

Sulfadoxine-Pyrimethamine

ACT:

Artemisinin-based combination therapy

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Acknowledgements

Authors are thankful to the Director, ICMR-National Institute of Malaria Research, New Delhi and Indian Council of Medical Research for institutional and infrastructure support. Authors are also thankful to the Directorate of Health services, Goa for providing the annual malaria data.

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No funding was received for this study.

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PBN and AKM conceptualized, designed, and wrote the first draft of the manuscript. AN, AG, and DM contributed to the literature search. SS, KM, PKB, and KB contributed to the review and editing of the manuscript. AG and PTP analysed the data, and KB made the figure. All authors have read and agreed to the final version of the manuscript.

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Correspondence to Ajeet Kumar Mohanty or Praveen Balabaskaran Nina.

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Mohanty, A.K., Naik, A., Govekar, A. et al. Spatiotemporal epidemiology of indigenous and imported malaria cases in Goa, western India. Malar J 24, 46 (2025). https://doiorg.publicaciones.saludcastillayleon.es/10.1186/s12936-024-05232-2

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