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Table 1 Relative change in monthly P. falciparum and P. vivax incidence by years since MSAT

From: The impact of mass screening and treatment interventions on malaria incidence and prevalence: a retrospective analysis of a malaria elimination programme in eastern Myanmar, and systematic review and meta-analysis

Covariate

P. falciparum

P. vivax

IRR (95% CI)

Years since MSAT

−3

0.52 (0.26, 1.02)

0.36 (0.26, 0.51)

−2

0.78 (0.42, 1.43)

0.31 (0.22, 0.43)

−1

Reference

Reference

0

0.37 (0.19, 0.73)

0.60 (0.45, 0.80)

1

0.01 (0.00, 0.05)

0.52 (0.38, 0.70)

2

0.01 (0.00, 0.04)

1.37 (1.03, 1.81)

3

0.21 (0.08, 0.54)

2.07 (1.53, 2.81)

  1. Mixed-effects negative binomial modelling with a random intercept for malaria post and random slope (linear and quadratic) for years since MSAT. Seasonality was captured using 3 Fourier terms per year
  2. CI confidence interval, IRR Incidence Rate Ratio, MSAT mass screen and treatment