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Fig. 4 | Malaria Journal

Fig. 4

From: Estimating the potential impact of surveillance test-and-treat posts to reduce malaria in border regions in sub-Saharan Africa: a modelling study

Fig. 4

Measuring the sensitivity of outcomes to PfPR2–10, border post coverage, and cross-border mixing. The scenarios represented used a 2-unit metapopulation model which varies the value of each unit’s PfPR2–10 from 0.1 to 0.8 and is run over a 10-year period. The first scenario examines the effects of (A) the PfPR2–10 of unit B on the percent of cases averted in unit A and (B) the PfPR2–10 of unit A on the percent of infections detected by RDT in unit A. The second scenario examines the effects of (C) border post coverage on the percentage of cases averted in unit A. These first two scenarios assume that 95% of mixing occurs within a unit and 5% of mixing occurs between units. The third scenario examines the effects of (D) varying cross-border mixing (vs. national mixing) on the percentage of cases averted in unit A. Colours represent median values out of 50 unique parameter draws. Note: RDT = rapid diagnostic test

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