Fig. 2
Effects of border post simulations with 80% coverage of rapid diagnostic testing over the 10-year intervention period relative to no intervention. Administrative units are parameterized with unit-specific epidemiological and historical intervention data. Colours represent median values out of 50 unique model parameter draws. Panel (A) represents the absolute number of cases averted in each unit when it was the seed point for the cluster. Panel (B) represents the percent reduction in PfPR2–10 in each unit when it was the seed point for the cluster, from before to after the border post intervention. Bold lines indicate boundaries between countries included in the analysis. All units with outcomes slightly less than 0 due to model stochasticity at extremely low values of PfPR2–10 were set at 0. Results should not be interpreted as recommendations for specific countries or sub-national areas. Larger versions of these plots are available as Figure S6 and S7