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Table 2 Forecast model inputs to estimate the number of children eligible for PMC in 2023 and growth projections

From: Projected uptake of sulfadoxine–pyrimethamine for perennial malaria chemoprevention in children under 2 years of age in nine sub-Saharan African countries: an epidemiologically-based 5-year forecast analysis

Country

Children under 2 years of age

Moderate to high transmission areas, %

Receiving cotrimoxazole, %

Receiving SMC, %

PMC eligible children

Population growth factor, %

2023–2024

2024–2025

2025–2026

2026–2027

Benin

836,737

100

0.16

2.5

814,472

1.9

1.8

1.9

1.5

Cameroon

1,767,234

100

0.29

17.0

1,461,599

1.5

1.5

1.5

1.3

Côte d'Ivoire

1,806,624

100

0.18

0.00

1,803,422

1.6

1.6

1.6

1.6

DRC

6,990,181

100

0.16

0.00

6,978,928

2.0

1.9

1.9

1.5

Mozambique

2,282,002

100

2.30

3.0

2,161,149

1.8

1.7

1.7

1.5

Nigeria

14,752,292

100

0.08

61.0

5,741,254

0.3

0.3

0.4

0.5

Sierra Leone

484,116

100

0.11

0.00

483,562

1.6

1.6

1.7

1.4

Togo

525,624

100

0.38

35.8

335,446

2.0

2.0

2.0

1.7

Zambia

1,311,086

100

1.60

0.00

1,290,145

3.1

2.7

2.6

1.1

  1. PMC perennial malaria chemoprevention, SMC seasonal malaria chemoprevention